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Case study - Chlorine and Derivatives Sales and
Operations Planning
Ernie Kirkbride - Production Planning
Solutions
Overview
Ineos Chlor (formerly ICI Chlor Chemicals) uses the Sales
and Operations Planning software created by Production Planning
Solutions to optimize the operations of their integrated chlorine
and derivatives businesses. The software was amended to meet
the particular requirements of the users. The business model
can be maintained and altered by the user to follow the changing
structure of the plants and businesses.
Business Characteristics
Chlorine and the co-product Caustic Soda are sold directly,
and are also the feedstocks for a number of derivative products.
There are also recycle loops for some derivative co-products.
The whole production network of continuously operating plants
must be balanced, with limited storage capacity for many products.
The final sales products serve a number of disparate markets,
serviced by internal businesses that call on common resources
and products.
The cost and availability of feedstocks can
vary, as can the cost of electricity which is a major production
cost. The different prices and volumes of the sales opportunities
add to the complexity. The problem is to produce a sales and
production plan that satisfies the mass balance of the integrated
production network, while optimising the profit over the whole
business.
Solution
The relevant data for the whole business is held in a database,
including feedstock costs, production costs and capability,
storage availability and sales forecasts. Transport costs
can also be modelled. For routine Sales and Operations Planning
the data is held in monthly time periods for a two year horizon.
Different versions can use different time periods. This data
can be viewed and edited by the user to reflect changes. The
latest sales forecasts are collected at a detailed level and
can be grouped before being added to the S&OP database.
As in any business there are commercial constraints
that limit the freedom to adopt the short term financially
optimum plan. These constraints can be set by the user.
The software constructs an Xpress-MP
model from the database, optimizes and imports the solution
into the database. The solution can be browsed as tables of
data with a charting facility. In addition user designed reports
can be created and exported to spreadsheet for further processing
or printing.
Options
The use of Xpress-MP
results in the model creation, optimization and database updating
process typically taking less than 5 minutes, in spite of
a model size of the order of 40,000 variables and 12,000 constraints.
This gives the opportunity to explore the effect that different
constraints have on the overall profit and pattern of operations.
Benefits
The basic benefit is to ensure that the sales plans of the
various businesses are mutually consistent with the capabilities
of the production assets. Because of the complexity of the
interactions between products it is all too easy to manually
create a plan that is infeasible.
However the use of linear programming gives
much more by identifying the optimum strategy within the constraints,
and showing the values of co-products. This optimum overall
business plan is visible to all members of the organization,
so that local sub-optimal strategies are not adopted.
What-if scenarios can be explored, as can the
effect of events such as plant breakdowns or short notice
changes to sales opportunities.
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